We are students from the Kogod School of Business that are studying the food and tobacco industry. (KSB-100-003)
Monday, November 14, 2011
When You're Catching Up, You're Ahead.
Putting the pieces together
In certain industries, manufacturing and labor takes a large portion of the revenue. In others, a majority of costs are focused on marketing the product and expanding into new markets or developing distribution chains. I will focus on two subsets of the food, beverage, and tobacco industry that I have been in our blogs and those are the soda production industry and the chips, cracker, and pasta production industry. First, I will focus on the soda production industry. In this industry labor costs comprise about 12.2% of revenue, which is near the average for all beverage manufacturing industries. This proportion has fallen over the five years to 2011, from an estimated 13.9% in 2006. This is due to stagnant wages for manufacturing jobs as well as industry layoffs. This trend is expected to continue through 2016. Because of recent purchases of bottling companies, both Pepsi and Coke experienced lower bottling costs and can now focus more of their revenue on advertising and promotions. Labor costs such as wages and salaries are estimated to make up about 10% of revenue, which makes it the second largest cost. Wages comprise a relatively low proportion of costs, as production has become increasingly automated to increase productivity. Major players such as Kellogg and Kraft have consistently increased their capital expenditure to upgrade technology and equipment, also helping to lower labor costs. In 2008, Kellogg spent $681 million, a 13.3% increase from the previous year. Over the same period, Kraft Foods spent $1.4 billion in the modernization of its production facilities. This increase principally occurred because unusually high production cost periods resulted in revenue declines, which negatively skewed the wages to revenue ratio. Branding is also a major cost for companies in this industry. Companies in the industry, especially major players, invest heavily in aggressive advertising, marketing and promotional activities, in order to increase customer loyalty. These strategies include expensive media advertisements, point-of-purchase tasting and displays, and related promotional costs. In 2011, such costs are estimated to account for 8.5% of sales. Overall, we can see that in terms of proportion of total revenue, labor is a relatively small cost compared to things like advertising and purchasing. In this industry, it is not all about the details and intricacy of a product, but instead about developing brand awareness and customer loyalty, something companies such as Coca-Cola, Kraft, and Pepsi have done well.
http://clients.ibisworld.com.proxyau.wrlc.org/industryus/competitivelandscape.aspx?indid=265
http://clients.ibisworld.com.proxyau.wrlc.org/industryus/competitivelandscape.aspx?indid=285
Sunday, November 13, 2011
Influential Leaders
John MacKey is the CEO and co-founder of Whole Foods Market. He is one of the most influential advocates for organic food. According to the Guardian, MacKey started SaferWay, but after he started to merge with local natural-food stores to form Whole Foods, it became America’s fourth-largest chain store and the world’s most profitable organic grocer. Whole Food was the first grocery chain to set standards to treat animals humanely. According to the New York Times (2011), as of 2010, the company owns 299 stores in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.
Thursday, November 3, 2011
Breaking Through
Depending on the industry one focuses on, becoming a relatively major player is extremely difficult. However, there are some industries in which becoming a player at all are near impossible while others have relatively easier barriers to entry. I will focus on two subsets of the Food, Beverage, and Tobacco industry in which most of our example companies fall. I will be focusing on the Soda production sector which houses Pepsi and Coke and the Cookie, Cracker, and Pasta production sector which incorporates Kraft and Nestlé.
First, I will describe the factors that influence a potential emerging company in the Soda production sector. Entry into this market may be difficult because of market saturation by older and established companies. New entrants must find a way to significantly differentiate themselves from other products because who would choose some knock off dark soda over a good old fashion Coca-Cola. Another possibility for these companies would be to find specific niches or market sectors to operate in but it seems apparent that the major brands like Coke and Pepsi and Dr. Pepper are not defined by a specific geographic area or income level but that all different types of people enjoy these brands. In addition, many of the more established brands have access to distribution channels that would not be accessible by a newcomer to the sector. This allows the established companies to keep prices low because establishment of new distribution channels is costly. Also, some capital is necessary in the production of soft drinks. Producers that are established are going to have lower average costs of production because they have reached economies of scale. Established producers keep their costs low by merging bottling plants and using whole sale retailers. Because these companies see high profits on their products, much is spent on branding and marketing of their already extremely established products. Additionally, established companies like Coke have exclusive agreements between themselves and factors of production such as syrup producers which makes it extremely difficult for new companies to even start up. Due to the multitude of reasons, barriers of entry into the soda production market are high and steady.
Now, I will describe the factors that influence the potential emerging companies in the cookies, cracker, and pasta production sector. In contrast to the soda industry, barriers to entry in this industry are relatively low. Besides an initial capital investment, there is little to stop an emerging company. The biggest threat facing potential new companies is the established position of older companies which includes strong brand awareness and customer loyalty. However, loyalty differs among products. For example, people are much more likely to exhibit brand loyalty to their favorite cookie than to dry pasta. Also, enormous advertising budgets allow them to pursue product promotion through media outlets that are simply inaccessible to new emerging companies. Also, as we saw before, lower average costs of production, diversified product lines, and better technology allow the established companies huge advantages. However, because raw materials are easily accessible and training knowledge and skills are available, companies can be successful with low-priced, non-branded goods and small regional markets. The barriers to entry in this sector are medium but increasing.
In conclusion, the markets in this industry vary in terms of barriers to entry. The most common thread throughout has been that it is much easier for established companies to produce and advertise their goods because of the advantages they have in production costs and exclusive deals, but it is possible for emerging companies to succeed.
http://clients.ibisworld.com.proxyau.wrlc.org/industryus/competitivelandscape.aspx?indid=265
Current News: Kraft and PepsiCo
In current news, due to a combination of marketing and introduction of new products, Kraft was highly successful in pass on rising commodity costs (up to unprecedented 14%) to the consumers. As a result, Kraft’s third quarter net profits increased 22%. According to the Wall Street Journal, “Kraft has navigated this environment by raising prices ahead of most competitors, and complementing that with spending on marketing and innovation. Kraft is running new advertising campaigns like for its namesake Macaroni & Cheese and Philadelphia Cream Cheese, while also introducing products like MiO, a liquid that adds flavor to water, which is on track to generate $100 million in sales this year.” The question remind on how successful Kraft is able to maintain this temporary profit before the market catches up. Kraft’s stock has a history of remaining stagnant, and this is indicative of the corporation’s performance. However, as a result of this profit increase, shares of Kraft has gone up 1%. The question here remains whether the split would be beneficial to expand and retain that profit, as there is much speculation as information are slow in release. What investors had been told is that the North American grocery line would keep the name, Kraft, while the international business’ name would be decided by the stockholders. However, rising commodity costs is still one of the biggest challenge the food industry will face in the upcoming years.
In other news, PepsiCo is expanding its market products through a product-extension merger/acquisition with Brazilian cookie maker, Grupo Mabel. The deal costs PepsiCo $520 million. As a result, this year, the financial statements may not be looking so good with cash flow going out and inquiring debt for this purchase. However, PepsiCo is looking to seek growth in the emerging market in the long run. According to the Wall Street Journal, “PepsiCo agreed last year to acquire dairy-products and fruit-juice maker OAO Wimm-Bill-Dann in a deal that valued the Russian company at $5.4 billion.” Furthermore, PepsiCo is “closing in on a joint-venture with German dairy company Theo Müller Group that would give PepsiCo a foothold in the fast-growing U.S. yogurt market.” With a goal to make $30 billion by 2020, PepsiCo is on an aggressive strategy to capture huge market shares. It is worth noting on how successful these mergers/acquisitions would be. As mentioned in my previous post, with growing consumer trend in buying healthy products, a joint-venture with Theo Müller Group could be a very good idea for PepsiCo.
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20111102-722954.html?mod=WSJ_qtnews_wsjlatesthttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203804204577014282949932296.html
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203804204577014010166288138.html
Room for Improvement
Thursday, October 27, 2011
On the Rise
In terms of current events in our industry, there are 2 events which stuck out to me for a few reasons. The first involves the company I have been focusing on in many of my blogs, Coca-Cola. Coca-Cola plans to acquire Great Plains Bottling for $360 million, a move the company hopes will cut production costs further. “We are always working with our independent bottlers to build capabilities and to ensure that our system is well-positioned for the future," the company said in a recent statement. "As our business in the U.S. has evolved, it became clear to Great Plains and us that this transaction was the right decision at this time." Great Plains, which is the 5th largest independent Coca-Cola bottler in the United States, has operations in Arkansas and Oklahoma. It will become a unit within Coca-Cola Refreshments, a Coke wholly owned subsidiary. The deal is expected to be complete by the year’s end. Last year, Coke completed the acquisition of the North American operations of its biggest bottler, Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc. (CCE), in a deal valued at $12.3 billion, hoping the move would cut costs and make Coke more flexible in dealing with retailers and other customers. Coke’s biggest rival, PepsiCo Inc., acquired its two largest bottles last year for $7.8 billion. Recently, both Pepsi and Coke have been focusing on marketing and new products, such as Coke’s new bottle sizes referenced in my previous blogs. At the same time, the industry faces rising production costs because of rising commodity costs. Earlier this month, Coke reported its earnings with an increase in earnings of 8.1% as the company sold more drinks in each region and raised prices in its key North American market, which may be due to the new, smaller bottles, in which consumers pay a higher per ounce price. Shares were up 1.8% and overall 10% over the last 12 months. One of the key growth factors in the Food and Beverage industry is acquisition and that is exactly what Coke plans to do within the next year. For many years, this has been seen as the fastest way to increase growth, whether the acquisition is an add-on or some type of diversification. This headline also shows that Coke and other companies are beginning to regain confidence in the economy and investing in long-term capital such as new facilities. This is a promising sign not only for the food and Beverage industry, but the economy as a whole.
The second notable event in our industry did not involve Coke, but another producer of sugary sweet goods. Hershey Co.’s 3rd quarter earnings rose 9.2%, citing Halloween and new products as the cause. Hershey attributed the increase in earnings to the upcoming Halloween holiday and the increased demand for their new products, while keeping operating costs at a minimum. Hershey said its seasonal volume gains were better than expected but needed to offset other volume losses, while still ending up in an overall volume drop. While the company expects increased costs in 2012, they are “very focused” on profitability. These latest numbers continue the trend of increased profitability due to high consumer demand of new products like Reese's Minis and Hershey's Drops. Higher prices also had an effect. Before last year, when Hershey's revenue turned around, the company struggled to keep costs contained and successfully develop new products. Recent troubles include higher raw material costs and increase competition with the Kraft Foods Inc. purchase of Cadbury. Hershey's posted a profit of $196.7 million, or 86 cents a share, up from $180.2 million, or 78 cents a share, 12 months earlier. Sales also increased 5% to $1.62 billion. Once again, the continued growth of this company despite rising costs points to increased consumer and business confidence. Typically within an economy, confidence or perception of the state of the economy is just as important as its realistic state. When consumer confidence increases, it leads to consumption and spending increase, thus spurring GDP growth. Overall, both of these articles point to a very bright future for the Food, Beverage, and Tobacco industry as well as the US and World economy.
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20111027-715460.html?mod=WSJ_FoodAndTobacco_middleHeadlines
Consumer Trend
What are some recent consumer behavior trends that are influencing the industry?
With rising costs in every factors, such as the rising price of oil and food, consumers’ allocation of disposable incomes for food is shrinking. First, rises in gasoline prices are affecting consumer spending on food. According to analysts Graves and Kwon (2011) from Standard and Poor's, consumers are more likely to shop efficiently by shopping closer to home to reduce fuel consumption. To further save on gas usage, consumers are more likely to eat and have fun in home instead of going out. Thus, from my point of view, this could lead to potential profit growth in frozen foods, such as TV-dinner and ready-to-eat meals. Second, with increases in food, consumers are more price consciousness. This means a few things. First, for some areas, consumers are forgoing some brand name food items for private brands. In addition, consumers are looking for “benefit from promotional sales, discount coupons, and loyalty card programs” (Graves and Kwon (2011)). So for food companies to compete for higher market shares, they must have special market promotions to encourage consumers to buy their brand. One interesting way for market promotion is to bundle food items together, but it is up to the most creative food industry to use successive tactics to recapture the market consumers. Currently, one way for the some companies to spread awareness is offering discounts on online web pages, such as Groupon or Livingsocial. In general terms, cost-conscious consumers and rising raw commodity causes will lead to slow growth in the United States.
Graves and Kwon (2011) predicted that the industry is expected to growth in emerging markets, such as Asia, Easter Europe and Latin America. As developing countries are getting wealthier, foreign consumers are expected to change their lifestyle to consuming more process goods/food. They stated (2011), “developing international markets, we expect that consumers’ diets are shifting toward protein (e.g., meat and dairy), with less of an emphasis on carbohydrate grain products. We think demand for processed foods should grow, especially in urban areas, where busy consumers seek some of the same features (e.g., convenience, healthier choices, variety, and quality) that are valued in the US. We expect that rising education levels will cause people to make more informed choices about what they eat, and we think that more women working outside the home creates a need for faster, simpler food preparation, which is likely to encourage use of processed foods.” With the rise of industrial workers in developing countries, process food is becoming more of a choice for foreigners. Thus, companies with frozen entrees as one of their product line are in good standing. One thing to note that as consumers get wealthier, they are leaning towards healthier options. Thus, this trend would most likely be profitable to those companies that are able to produce healthier and more nutritious goods than their competitors.
http://www.netadvantage.standardandpoors.com.proxyau.wrlc.org/NASApp/NetAdvantage/cp/companyIndustrySurvey.do?task=showIndustrySurveyByTicker
Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Competitive Landscape in the United States
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Key Player's State of Affairs
Monday, October 17, 2011
Current Events: Splitting Company and Yogurt
It is interesting to note how will the Cadbury purchase will impact with the global snack brand, and how the global snack brand will penetrate emerging markets with its market strategy while the cost of production/raw goods is increasing. It is also worth pondering of the short term cost of separation and what this means to the shareholders.
http://www.fool.com/investing/dividends-income/2011/08/05/is-krafts-split-up-a-big-winner-for-shareholders.aspx
http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/08/04/kraft-to-split-two-separating-snacks-and-grocery-businesses/
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111903454504576487720348267828.html
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204002304576629391669710546.html
http://blogs.wsj.com/health/2011/10/13/report-companies-with-better-for-you-foods-do-better-financially/
Sunday, October 16, 2011
Back to Business
In this article, I will be focusing on how the all mighty 2008-2009 recession affected the corporations in our industry. For this subject, it would be impossible to look at the financial information for every single corporation but instead I will focus on the company that have appeared in out write ups many times, Coke, and hopefully it will accurately represent the industry or at least similar companies. First is good old Coca-Cola. In 2007, net operating revenues were $28,857 million with profits of $18,451 million. In 2008, the year the recession first hit, the total net revenue was $31,944 million with profits of $20,570 million. As we can see the recession did not stop Coca-cola from making a huge profit, although the growth may have decreased in rate. In 2009, net revenues were $30,990 and increased to $35,119 in 2010. As we can see, revenues did indeed drop in 2009, which some consider the worst of the recession, from their 2008 numbers. However, revenue increased by about 16 percent between 2009 and 2010, signaling that whatever the management did put them back on the right track. Overall, in terms of revenues alone, the recession did hinder the company at one point, but the company bounced back, which is exactly what is expected of a 125 year old company that was in business before during and after the Great Depression. In terms of stock market numbers, in 2007, Coca-Cola was traded for $61.37* a share. In 2008 it was $45.27, showing not only a huge decline in prices but also a noticeable difference between stock prices and revenues which did not fall between 2007 and 2008. In 2009, prices were $57.00 per share, showing that stock prices actually increased in this period while revenue fell. In 2010, prices were $65.77 per share, showing an increase in price to go along with a large increase in revenue that year. From this information, we can see that the recession did hurt Coca-Cola in the stock market but just as they did with revenue, prices eventually got back on the right track.
*Stock prices recorded on closing on December 31st of each year
http://www.thecoca-colacompany.com/investors/form_10K_2008.html
http://ir.thecoca-colacompany.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=94566&p=irol-stocklookup&t=HistQuote&control_firstdatereturned=,
Monday, October 10, 2011
Current Events: Diamond Foods
Competition Overseas
Unilever is one of UK biggest food companies. Its prime speciality in the food industry is seasoning and dressing manufacturing. However, it also produces personal care products, such as Dove bar. Last year, Unilever UK Food earned $227.4 million in revenue. This is also the company that launches "I can't believe it's not butter" promotion. The top competitors are Associated British Foods, H.J. Heinz Limited, and Premier Foods.
McCain Foods Limited, based in Canada, is the world number one producer of french fries. According to Hoover, produces frozen vegetables, appetizers, juices, pizza, entrees, and desserts at some 60 plants on six continents. The company generated $6 billion in revenue. It is the second largest private company in Canada. Its top competitors are ConAgra, JR Simplot, and Larsen Farms. Hoover rated this company as low risk to invest in.
Nestle is the largest food and beverage company in the world. It originated in Switzerland. Its top competitors are Kraft Food; Mars, Incorporated; and Danone. It is the one of the top leaders in selling coffee, bottled water and frozen pizza.
According to Hoover.
http://subscriber.hoovers.com/H/company360/overview.html?companyId=138880000000000
http://subscriber.hoovers.com/H/company360/overview.html?companyId=41815000000000
American Companies Gone Global
Sunday, October 9, 2011
They're everywhere
Monday, September 26, 2011
What's the Problem?
What are some examples of ethics challenges that industry players experienced?
In an industry as personal as food and tobacco, there are naturally many ethical challenges companies face on a daily basis. There is a difference between buying clothing and purchasing food, something that you plan on putting into your body. People like to know exactly how their food was produced, what exactly goes in to it, and any other details before they sit down and take a bite. Through a bit of research, I found there are four categories which companies in this industry have to consider when looking at ethical matters. They are production of distribution, marketing, fair trade and justice issues, and the environmental effect. First, I will take a look at production and distribution in the food industry. Surely more than any other industry, the importance of sanitary conditions triumphs all other issues. If you sweatshirt was made in less than perfect sanitary conditions, that’s not too big of an issue, but if your chicken was not prepared in sanitary conditions, there is going to be a problem. Companies need to constantly monitor hygiene, quality control and health and safety of production. In the meat products industry, companies must keep a careful watch on animal welfare and treatment. In terms of produce and all things grown on farms, companies must consider the misuse of water resources and the impact on other farmers as well as the improper use of pesticides and other chemicals. Other issues include soil degradation, high transport costs and carbon emissions, and controversy over genetically modified crops.
Moving on to marketing, there are many challenges and ethical issues food and tobacco companies face. First, they must keep watch for marketing campaigns that could encourage or lead to obesity. Also, wasteful packaging or packaging that forces the consumer to purchase way more than needed. Other ethical marketing issues include aggressive campaigns toward the venerable (children) for less than healthy products. Concerning tobacco, the marketing dilemma seems obvious. These companies are promoting a product and trying to create a demand even though they know the harmful damages their products are proved to cause. With food products, it is vital that the packaging contains information pertaining to health benefits and costs. Failure to do such things could and should result in public scrutiny from the media and the consumers.
The next ethical issue in this industry is the topic of fair trade and trade justice issues. This includes paying a fair price to all input products involved in their product. This includes supporting local farmers and communities by inviting consumers to pay a slightly higher price which is passed on to these often underpaid producers. While driving down prices may be a benefit for consumers in rich developed countries but it is ethically inappropriate because it does not provide an adequate reward for the labor of the farmers and producers in underdeveloped country.
Finally on to the ethical issues associated with the environment. Companies in the food industry, which directly deal with the environment with the production of their product, should treat the environment with an attitude of respect and sustainability. This may include things such as policies that ban or evaluate the use of pesticides, antibiotics, herbicides and hormones. Other policies include those toward carbon emissions possibly with a preference toward locally grown products to decrease transportation. Companies also should avoid the destruction of traditional forests in order to create plantations. Lastly, companies in this industry need to have a respect for small farmers and their practices as well as awareness of overproduction and waste products.
In the news recently there has been an ‘event’ that pertains to ethical issues in this industry. It may be unthinkable, but one of the most delicious foods we enjoy, chocolate, comes from the labor of child slaves. Seventy to seventy-five percent of the world’s cocoa beans are grown on small farms in West Africa. There are an estimated 100,000 children working the fields, many against their will, to produce chocolate products enjoyed by developed nations. Ten years ago, US lawmakers took action to stop child labor in the industry and signed into law the Cocoa Protocol on September 19, 2001. While it is now illegal for children to work on these cocoa farms, an estimated 100,000 children are involved in the worst forms of child labor throughout Ivory Coast. Many of these children are smuggled in from Mali and Burkina Faso to work on the plantations. Because of economic problems and war throughout the region, there has been little progress on the issue in the last ten years. In reaction to these events, CNN invited 5 cocoa manufactures and 5 chocolate manufactures on air to talk about their stance on the issue. Six of them simply did not respond to the issue, including household names of Hershey and Nestle. Mars says they are deeply concerned and striving to reach a permanent solution to the issue despite the difficult task at hand. Kraft says it working with others to support the protocol. Others say the companies will release a joined statement in the days to come. A spokesperson for the company says the reductions in child labor are not enough. Through the various statements it seems like they are looking at this issue through a negative light and not with passion and desperateness to complete this task. It seems as if the companies do care about the unfair labor used to create their inputs, but are subconsciously aware of the fact that when this issue is fixed, the prices of cocoa will dramatically increase which will lead to an increase in their prices. The companies care about the issue, but almost seem to be milking the cheap labor as much as possible, considering costs more important than working conditions.
http://www.methodist.org.uk/downloads/ei_ethical_issues_relating_to_food_industry.pdf
http://thecnnfreedomproject.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/19/the-human-cost-of-chocolate/
http://thecnnfreedomproject.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/21/chocolate-cocoa-industries-response/
